<style id="elementor-post-39989">.elementor-39989 .elementor-element.elementor-element-3938896b{--display:flex;}.elementor-widget-text-editor{color:var( --e-global-color-text );}.elementor-widget-text-editor.elementor-drop-cap-view-stacked .elementor-drop-cap{background-color:var( --e-global-color-primary );}.elementor-widget-text-editor.elementor-drop-cap-view-framed .elementor-drop-cap, .elementor-widget-text-editor.elementor-drop-cap-view-default .elementor-drop-cap{color:var( --e-global-color-primary );border-color:var( --e-global-color-primary );}.elementor-39989 .elementor-element.elementor-element-27c0d093{color:#000000;}</style>{"id":39989,"date":"2025-06-01T14:11:59","date_gmt":"2025-06-01T12:11:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/osmstatecnych.cz\/aggressor-does-not-provoke-force-or-incompetence\/"},"modified":"2026-09-15T20:57:29","modified_gmt":"2026-09-15T18:57:29","slug":"aggressor-does-not-provoke-force-or-incompetence","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/osmstatecnych.cz\/en\/aggressor-does-not-provoke-force-or-incompetence\/","title":{"rendered":"An aggressor is not provoked by strength, but by incapacity"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"39989\" class=\"elementor elementor-39989 elementor-14091\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t<div data-ka-cursor-size=\"1\" class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3938896b e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"3938896b\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;kng_cursor_interaction&quot;:&quot;default&quot;,&quot;kng_cursor_magnetic&quot;:&quot;none&quot;,&quot;kng_cursor_size_multiplier&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;px&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:1,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]}}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div data-ka-cursor-size=\"1\" class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-27c0d093 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"27c0d093\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;kng_cursor_interaction&quot;:&quot;default&quot;,&quot;kng_cursor_magnetic&quot;:&quot;none&quot;,&quot;kng_cursor_size_multiplier&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;px&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:1,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]}}\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Putin will only stop his provocations in the Baltic states once he understands that it will end in catastrophe for him. <\/h2>\n\n<p>However, for this understanding to be reached, it is necessary to demonstrate political will and readiness for military conflict. I have said many times that the combined forces of NATO&#8217;s northeastern flank would be capable of inflicting irreparable damage on Putin. If the will were there.<\/p>\n\n<p>It must be clearly stated that in the event of a provocation, some European countries will resist the aggressor\u2014including an attack on his territory. The Finns and Estonians would destroy the Baltic Fleet in an instant. It is also perfectly clear that if Poland wants to capture Kaliningrad, it will do so\u2014it is surrounded on all sides.<\/p>\n\n<p>If we take the simple stance that any provocation will trigger an immediate military response with irreparable damage to the aggressor, then all talk of the Suwalki Gap and Narva will quickly end. Such a topic simply will not exist\u2014because the balance of power is obvious.<\/p>\n\n<p>An aggressor is not provoked by strength, but by incapacity. He is provoked by cowardice and the effort to reach some kind of deal. Such behavior is a direct incentive for the aggressor to keep trying. A bandit\u2014and Putin&#8217;s state is a classic bandit\u2014will do whatever he wants as long as he feels safe. It is time to eliminate this safe zone for him.<\/p>\n\n<p><a href=\"\/?tag=garri-kasparov\"><strong>Garry Kasparov<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Putin will only stop his provocations in the Baltic states once he understands that it will end in catastrophe for him. However, for this understanding to be reached, it is necessary to demonstrate political will and readiness for military conflict. I have said many times that the combined forces of NATO&#8217;s northeastern flank would be [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ocean_front_end_style_editor":"no","ocean_post_layout":"","ocean_both_sidebars_style":"","ocean_both_sidebars_content_width":0,"ocean_both_sidebars_sidebars_width":0,"ocean_sidebar":"","ocean_second_sidebar":"","ocean_disable_margins":"enable","ocean_add_body_class":"","ocean_shortcode_before_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_after_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_before_header":"","ocean_shortcode_after_header":"","ocean_has_shortcode":"","ocean_shortcode_after_title":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_bottom":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_bottom":"","ocean_display_top_bar":"default","ocean_display_header":"default","ocean_header_style":"","ocean_center_header_left_menu":"","ocean_custom_header_template":"","ocean_custom_logo":0,"ocean_custom_retina_logo":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_height":0,"ocean_header_custom_menu":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_family":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_subset":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_size":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_unit":"px","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_line_height":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_unit":"","ocean_menu_typo_spacing":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_unit":"","ocean_menu_link_color":"","ocean_menu_link_color_hover":"","ocean_menu_link_color_active":"","ocean_menu_link_background":"","ocean_menu_link_hover_background":"","ocean_menu_link_active_background":"","ocean_menu_social_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_links_color":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_color":"","ocean_disable_title":"default","ocean_disable_heading":"default","ocean_post_title":"","ocean_post_subheading":"","ocean_post_title_style":"","ocean_post_title_background_color":"","ocean_post_title_background":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_image_position":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_attachment":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_repeat":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_size":"","ocean_post_title_height":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay":0.5,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay_color":"","ocean_disable_breadcrumbs":"default","ocean_breadcrumbs_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_separator_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_hover_color":"","ocean_display_footer_widgets":"default","ocean_display_footer_bottom":"default","ocean_custom_footer_template":"","omw_enable_modal_window":"enable","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"ocean_post_oembed":"","ocean_post_self_hosted_media":"","ocean_post_video_embed":"","ocean_link_format":"","ocean_link_format_target":"self","ocean_quote_format":"","ocean_quote_format_link":"post","ocean_gallery_link_images":"on","ocean_gallery_id":[],"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[760],"tags":[1412,1266,1411],"class_list":["post-39989","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-political-initiatives","tag-aggression","tag-eu","tag-nato","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>An aggressor is not provoked by strength, but by incapacity - OSM STATE\u010cN\u00ddCH<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/osmstatecnych.cz\/en\/aggressor-does-not-provoke-force-or-incompetence\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"An aggressor is not provoked by strength, but by incapacity - OSM STATE\u010cN\u00ddCH\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Putin will only stop his provocations in the Baltic states once he understands that it will end in catastrophe for him. 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Pra\u017e\u00e1k v jizerskohorsk\u00e9m exilu. Vlastn\u011b po\u0159\u00e1d p\u0159ekl\u00e1d\u00e1m. Jako tlumo\u010dn\u00edk mezi z\u00fa\u010dastn\u011bn\u00fdmi stranami a rozpl\u00e9ta\u010d zapleten\u00e9ho kdysi v terapii... Taky kdy\u017e se d\u00e1 p\u0159elo\u017eit n\u011bco kr\u00e1sn\u00e9ho nebo d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9ho - aby o tom v\u011bd\u011blo v\u00edc lid\u00ed. No - a te\u010f je v\u00e1lka. A najednou je to v\u0161echno t\u0159eba. Snad to aspo\u0148 kouskem p\u0159isp\u011bje...","url":"https:\/\/osmstatecnych.cz\/en\/author\/admin\/"}]}},"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":34335,"url":"https:\/\/osmstatecnych.cz\/en\/the-caucasus-wants-to-cooperate-with-ukraine-on-the-breakup-of-russia\/","url_meta":{"origin":39989,"position":0},"title":"The Caucasus wants to cooperate with Ukraine on the disintegration of Russia","author":"Anna Valentov\u00e1","date":"4. 8. 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Will the North Caucasus be the key to the disintegration of Russia? On July 18, a conference on this topic, organized by the Caucasus Union, was held in the Ukrainian Parliament. From the speech of Djambulat Suleymanov of the Chechen United Force movement:\"Democratization without decolonization inevitably ends with the preservation\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;MILITARY UNITS&quot;","block_context":{"text":"MILITARY UNITS","link":"https:\/\/osmstatecnych.cz\/en\/category\/military-units\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/osmstatecnych.cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/clanek-97.png?fit=1200%2C444&quality=80&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/osmstatecnych.cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/clanek-97.png?fit=1200%2C444&quality=80&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/osmstatecnych.cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/clanek-97.png?fit=1200%2C444&quality=80&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/osmstatecnych.cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/clanek-97.png?fit=1200%2C444&quality=80&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/osmstatecnych.cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/clanek-97.png?fit=1200%2C444&quality=80&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":23876,"url":"https:\/\/osmstatecnych.cz\/en\/evolution-or-involution\/","url_meta":{"origin":39989,"position":1},"title":"EVOLUTION OR INVOLUTION?","author":"HLAS","date":"3. 5. 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"The First OneThere, among them\/us\u2014lived a man who could have become a leader.He shook hands with Thatcher and Clinton, McCain and McFaul, Cameron and Biden. And many others. At that time, he embodied a still-possible pro-Western civilizational choice for Russia.He was not a dictator. He was not a despot. That\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;VOICE OF THE RESISTANCE MOVEMENT&quot;","block_context":{"text":"VOICE OF THE RESISTANCE MOVEMENT","link":"https:\/\/osmstatecnych.cz\/en\/category\/voice-of-the-resistance-movement\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/osmstatecnych.cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Volna-PACE.png?fit=851%2C315&quality=80&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/osmstatecnych.cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Volna-PACE.png?fit=851%2C315&quality=80&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/osmstatecnych.cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Volna-PACE.png?fit=851%2C315&quality=80&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/osmstatecnych.cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Volna-PACE.png?fit=851%2C315&quality=80&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":40305,"url":"https:\/\/osmstatecnych.cz\/en\/it-is-not-a-plan-it-is-an-ultimatum\/","url_meta":{"origin":39989,"position":2},"title":"It is not a plan, it is an ultimatum","author":"Anna Valentov\u00e1","date":"23. 11. 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Statement of the Free Russia Forum on Donald Trump's so-called \"peace plan\" for Ukraine: The Free Russia Forum expresses its strong rejection of Donald Trump's proposed so-called \"peace plan\" for Ukraine. 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